The wait is a term of credit. Nobody writes it down that way, so it never shows up in your books as debt, but the 751 days between a signed retainer and a fee event is the largest receivable a disability firm holds, and SSA sets the term on it without asking you.
That 751 comes out of the agency's own budget request, though not as a printed figure. You add it up yourself from the FY2025 actuals in Figure 5 of the FY2027 Congressional Justification: 226 days for the initial claim, 241 for reconsideration, 284 for the hearing decision. Three stage averages stacked on each other, which is not at all the same thing as following real claims from filing to payment, and SSA does not publish that. It also skips the two appeal windows in between, sixty days apiece plus five for the mail, and nobody appeals on day one. So 751 is a floor. The real term on your money is longer and I can't tell you by how much.
Everyone in this practice area already knows the waits are bad. The complaint is old and it usually gets filed under operations, somewhere near "the agency is understaffed" and "my clients keep calling to ask what is happening." The part that doesn't get written down is that those days are a loan your firm made.
Put a rate on it and it stops being abstract. Use the fee that actually gets paid rather than the cap, because the two are nothing like each other: across the 311,047 direct payments SSA made to representatives in 2022, the average was $2,970. Treat that as a receivable held for 751 days, call it 2.06 years, and at 10 percent you have spent about $612 carrying it. At 8 percent, $490. Roughly a fifth of the fee, gone to time, before anyone in the office has been paid for an hour of work. And the fraction doesn't care how large the fee is, since it's set by the rate and the calendar rather than the amount, so even on the rare file that reaches the $9,200 cap the carry runs to about $1,893 and the proportion barely budges. Those are simple interest. Compounded is slightly worse.
That's the per-case version and it's the flattering one. A firm that's growing signs cases faster than the old ones pay out, so the gap widens instead of closing, which is the specific and deeply unfunny reason a good year can feel like being broke.
The office is worth seven months
The hearing stage is the longest of the three and it varies the most, which makes it the only part of this with any leverage in it. SSA publishes average processing time by hearing office. In the FY2025 file the mainland offices run from 204 days in Jackson, Mississippi to 412 in Fresno. That's 208 days, near enough seven months, on the same claim, decided by where the claimant happens to live. Add Puerto Rico and the range goes to 276, because Ponce sits at 480 and is the slowest in the system.
The tails are doing most of that work. The median office is 273 days and the middle half of them falls between 249 and 308.5, so the difference between a fairly fast office and a fairly slow one is nearer two months than seven. Forty-six offices are at or above 300 and ten are past 365. And an average is only an average, so a 273-day office is not a 273-day case, it's a heap of cases with a 273-day mean and a spread underneath that SSA doesn't publish, which makes the office number a decent read on what a market costs you and a bad read on any particular file.
Nobody picks their hearing office. The office follows the claimant's address and that's the end of it. A firm does pick its markets, though, and where you advertise and take referrals from is a hearing office decision made a year in advance, usually on population and ad cost, usually with nobody checking what the office does to the term of the money. Two firms, identical in every respect a lawyer would care about, one filing into a 240-day office and the other into a 340-day office. The second needs more working capital per case for reasons that have nothing to do with how well it practices law, and if it's funding expansion on a line of credit, the bank is lending against a number neither party ever looked at.
Reproduce it
Two public files. Figure 5 of the FY2027 Congressional Justification, printed page 13, first numeric column, three rows, add them. Then SSA's hearing office average processing time file for FY2025, which has 163 rows, two of which are not hearing offices and will wreck any average you compute: the National Adjudication Team at 84 days, which is attorney advisors issuing on-the-record decisions before a judge is ever assigned, and the Special Review Cadre at 711, which handles suspected-fraud redeterminations. Drop those two by exact name and the remaining 161 give you a median of 273.
By exact name, and that word is load-bearing. Filter that file by substring and JACKSON catches Jackson MS at 204, the fastest office in the country, along with Jacksonville at 273, which is how a headline number quietly turns wrong. ORLAND does the same thing to Orland Park and Orlando. Print the office names your filter actually selected and read them before you trust anything built on top of them.
The fee at the end didn't move
The cap under the fee agreement process has been $9,200 since November 30, 2024, and the 2026 COLA came and went without touching it. The cap isn't really the operative number anyway, since what SSA actually pays a representative is about a third of it and falling in real terms, which is its own post. For cash flow purposes all that matters is the direction of the two lines. The term of your money got longer. The money at the end of the term did not.
What's actually yours
Most of the 751 days isn't. SSA is forecasting improvement, and the FY2027 request in that same table asks for 140 days on initial claims and 240 on hearings, so if the agency hits its own targets the arithmetic gets better without anyone at your firm lifting a finger.
What's yours is the space between the events. A records request that sits unsent for four days is four days you added on top of SSA's, and so is a decision that takes a week to get from the mail to whoever was supposed to act on it. Next to 751 that's nothing. It's also the only stretch of the line you control, and it costs exactly the same per day as the stretch you don't.
We build operations systems for disability firms, so the space between the events is the part we work on. If you want the other half of what these files say, we went through 1,019 judges and 317,462 decisions to see how much of an outcome comes down to which judge draws the file. The assignment turns out to be worth more than the office is.